La multi ani
2011
Happy New Year!
Gutes neues Jahr!
Buon anno!
Bonne nouvelle annee!
Goeie nuwe jaar!
Jo az uj evet!
Iyi yeni yi!
LA MULTI ANI!
Friday, December 31, 2010
Thursday, December 30, 2010
888 Casino Bonus
888Casino offers a 100% up to 150E singup bonus. The wagering requirments for this bonus are 30XB. I recommend to complete the wagering playing Live Blackjack, not the BlackJack from Download Casino, because doesn’t count.
Summary:
Casino: 888Casino
Bonus: 100% up to 150E
Bonus type: Cashable
Wagering Req.: 30XB = 4500E
Recommend Stake: 5E
*EV: +131E
*Change of GAIN (profit):
79,3% 1E Stake
Recommend Game: Live BlackJack
Banking: Debit\Credit Card, Neteller, Moneybookers, etc
* See the return & variance calculator for checking other bet sizes.
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Oasis Poker Presentation
Oasis Poker is a variation of Caribbean Stud Poker that permits discards for a fee.
The game's low house edge makes it a useful option when blackjack and multi-hand video poker are not available.
Standard Rules and Play
After placing a bet, the player and dealer are dealt a 5-card poker hand. Only 1 of the dealer's 5 cards is visible. At this point, the player can choose to discard one or more of his cards. For each discard, the player is charged a fee that is equal to the size of the ante bet. After making a discard selection and getting replacement cards, play is identical to Caribbean Stud Poker. The player must choose to either fold and lose the hand or raise. The raise bet must be 2x the ante bet size, so the total bet following a raise is 3x the initial bet size. If the player raises, then there are several possible payouts.
-If the dealer has an Ace and King or better (for example A,K,7,6,5), the dealer "qualifies." If the dealer does not qualify (regardless of whether the player wins or loses the hand), then winnings on the ante bet are paid and the raise bet is returned.
-If the player loses the hand and the dealer qualifies, then the player loses the full bet.
-If the player wins the hand and the dealer qualifies, then the player wins the ante bet, and the raise bet pays according to a specific paytable. Net Entertainment uses the standard paytable, which is listed below.
Hand | Standard Payout |
Royal Flush | 100 to 1 |
Straight Flush | 50 to 1 |
4 of a Kind | 20 to 1 |
Full House | 7 to 1 |
Flush | 5 to 1 |
Straight | 4 to 1 |
3 of a Kind | 3 to 1 |
2 Pair | 2 to 1 |
Pair | 1 to 1 |
Ace & King | 1 to 1 |
Strategy
Unlike video poker, the player should rarely discard due the high cost of a replacement card. The key situations in which the player should discard are:
1. Four to a straight flush & royal flush, without pat straight or flush
2. Four to a flush, without pair*
3. Four to an outside straight (2 ways to form straight, such as 4567), without pair*
*The discard strategy can be improved slightly by also discarding on...
-Four to a flush with a 22 to 66 pair when the dealer's upcard is a greater rank than the pair
-Four to an outside straight with a 22 to 33 pair when the dealer's upcard is a greater rank than all cards in the straight
-Four to an inside straight without pair when the high card of the straight is 10 or greater, and the dealer's upcard is lesser rank than all cards in the straight
After the discards, strategy for raise and fold decisions is approximately the same as Caribbean Stud Poker. The simple strategy of raising with a Ace/King/Jack/8/3 or better results in a house edge ~0.1% from optimal. Wizard of Odds offers the following strategy to further improve results to ~0.001% from optimal.
Always raise with a pair or higher, fold with less than ace/king, and raise on ace/king if any of the following three rules apply:
1. Raise if the dealer's card is a 2 through queen and matches one of yours.
2. Raise if the dealer's card is an ace or king and you have a queen or jack in your hand.
3. Raise if the dealer's rank does not match any of yours and you have a queen in your hand and the dealer's card is less than your fourth highest card.
1. Raise if the dealer's card is a 2 through queen and matches one of yours.
2. Raise if the dealer's card is an ace or king and you have a queen or jack in your hand.
3. Raise if the dealer's rank does not match any of yours and you have a queen in your hand and the dealer's card is less than your fourth highest card.
House Edge
Under standard rules, the house edge (defined per initial bet) of Oasis Poker is 1.04%. The average bet size is 2.18x the initial Ante bet, making the house edge per unit wagered 0.47%.
The standard deviation per initial bet of Oasis Poker is 2.50. The standard deviation per wager is 1.69. The latter values is more appropriate for estimating range of return while completing a wagering requirement. Comparing the standard deviation per wager to other low house edge (per wager) games... oasis poker has a higher variance than blackjack.
Saturday, December 25, 2010
Casino Holdem Presentation
Introduction
Casino Hold'em (also known as Caribbean Hold'em) is a variation of the game Texas Hold'em in which you play against a casino dealer. The game's low expected loss per unit wagered makes it a useful alternative for clearing bonuses. Note that Casino Hold'em and Texas Hold'em Bonus are not the same game.
Rules and Play
After placing an Ante bet, the player's two cards are dealt, as well as three of the five community cards (the Flop). The player then must choose to either fold and forfeit the hand (losing ante bet), or raise and play the hand. The raise bet must be 2x the size of the Ante bet. If the player raises, then there are several possible payouts. If the dealer has a pair of 4s or better, the dealer "qualifies." Payouts depend on whether the dealer qualifies, as listed below.
Dealer Does Not Qualify -- Ante bet pays according to table below, raise bet pushes
Player Wins, Dealer Qualifies -- Ante bet pays according to table below, raise bet pays 1:1
Player and Dealer Tie, Dealer Qualifies -- All bets push
Player Loses, Dealer Qualifies -- All bets lose
| Hand | Final Hand Odds | Ante Bet Payout |
| Royal Flush | 1 in 30,000 | 100:1 |
| Straight Flush | 1 in 3500 | 20:1 |
| 4 of a Kind | 1 in 600 | 10:1 |
| Full House | 1 in 40 | 3:1 |
| Flush | 1 in 35 | 2:1 |
| Straight or Less | 16 out of 17 | 1:1 |
| House Edge (in terms of Initial Bet) | | 2.16% |
| House Edge per Unit Wagered | | 0.82% |
Optional Bonus Bet
Casino Hold'em offers an optional bonus bet. The bonus bet pays based on a 5-card hand composed of the player's 2 cards and three flop cards. The remaining two community cards are not included. Like most side bets, the house edge of the bonus bet is significantly larger than the house edge of the main game.
Strategy
The player should raise on fold on the worst 18% of hands, which have an EV of below -1 (the EV of folding the hand), and play the remaining 82% of hands. To minimize expected loss per unit wagered (minimum loss over a wagering requirement), the player should fold on hands which have an EV of below -1.016. A simplified strategy is below. This strategy has a house edge per wager that is ~0.0025% above optimal. Once you get a feel for the game, you will recognize more hands that are obvious raises and folds beyond the cases below.
Raise...
With a pair or better (using at least 1 player card)
With 4 to a flush
With 4 to an outside straight (a straight with an outside card missing, such as 4567)
With player cards of A/4 to A/A
With player cards of K/7 to K/K
With a pair or better (using at least 1 player card)
With 4 to a flush
With 4 to an outside straight (a straight with an outside card missing, such as 4567)
With player cards of A/4 to A/A
With player cards of K/7 to K/K
If the above conditions aren't met, fold...
With player cards of 2/3 to 2/7 (without 4 to a straight)
With player cards of 3/4 to 3/7 (without 4 to a straight)
With player cards of 2/3 to 2/7 (without 4 to a straight)
With player cards of 3/4 to 3/7 (without 4 to a straight)
House Edge
With standard rules, the house edge (defined per initial bet) of Casino Hold'em is 2.16%. The average bet size is 2.64x the initial Ante bet, making the house edge per unit wagered 0.82%. The latter value of 0.82% is more appropriate for estimating expected loss while completing a wagering requirement.
Variance and Bet Size
The standard deviation per initial bet of Casino Hold'em is 2.61. The average bet size is 2.64x the initial Ante bet, making the standard deviation per unit wagered 1.61. The latter value of 1.61 is more appropriate for estimating range of return while completing a wagering requirement.
I recommend an Ante bet size that is smaller than you would use for blackjack since the average final bet size is much larger than the initial Ante bet..
Friday, December 24, 2010
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a widely used measurement of variability or diversity used in statistics and probability theory. It shows how much variation or dispersion there is from the average.
Standard Deviation Range: Assuming a normal distribution, 68% of results should fall within the 1 standard deviation range, and 95% of results should fall within 2 standard deviation range.
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